Perfect System for Commodity Trading

Author: brend

To rescue US economy, FOMC has cut interest rate from 6% to 0.25%, not much ammunition left. Japan which is the world's 2nd biggest economy has suffered due to its strong yen. Even strong and stable Toyota has reported loss. China and Asia which have relied on US for most of their exports have started to show signs of weakness.

I say with confidence that 2009 will be a bad year for businesses, employees and global economy. We will see more cost cutting by firm in the form of retrenchments.

When people lose their jobs, they will spend conservatively. Some people may even have to sell stocks and property in order to raise cash for their daily expenses. Do you believe that in this kind of environment stock investments will do well?

Have you learned anything in 2009? If you have not, then learn that stock investment does not do well in all economy environment.

I think the current business cycle is moving downwards from the peak and we are still far from the bottom. I perceived that stock market is going to test its low and move down even much more in 2009.

I have since switched from stock investment to forex and commodity trading at the start of 2008. Here are some of my commodity trades.


14 trades were executed: 10 wins, 3 losses, 1 breakeven

Here are the trades on commodities from 1 Dec to 24 Dec:

1. On 23 Dec I closed my position at 10.41, profit is 28 ticks (US$280).

Original trade:
Shorted 1000 spot silver at 10.69
Stop level at 10.90
Target level at 10.08

2. On 23 Dec I closed my position at 39.33, profit is 33 ticks (US$66)

Original trade:
Shorted 2 lot supermini oil at 39.66
Stop level at 40.50
Target level at 38.72

3. On 19 Dec target level reached for silver. Close position at 11.12, 14 ticks profit (US$140).

Original trade:
Shorted 1000 spot silver at 10.91
Stop level at 11.12
Target level at 11.12

4. On 19 Dec I close my position at 10.97, profit is 10 ticks, US$99.65.

Original trade:
Shorted 1000 spot silver at 11.07
Stop level at 11.30
Target level at 10.87

5. On 17 Dec I close spot silver position at 11.44, profit is 25 ticks, US$250.

Original trade:
Bought 1000 spot silver at 11.19
Stop level at 10.79
Target level at 11.61

6. On 17 Dec target reached for silver. Profit is 49 ticks.

Original trade details:
Bought 1000 spot silver at 10.68
Stop level at 10.40
Target level at 11.17
Closed at 11.17 (Profit is 49 ticks, US$490)

7. On 16 Dec profit stop at 45.81 is triggered. Profit is 40 pips.

Original trade:
Bought 1 lot of supermini Oil at 45.41
Stop level at 43.70
Target level at 47.00

8. On 16 Dec oil trade triggered stop at 44.00. Loss is US$74.

Original trade:
I bought 1 lot of supermini Oil again at 45.41
Stop level at 43.70
Target level at 47.00

9. On 16 Dec oil trade stop triggered at breakeven

Original trade:
Open Long: 1 lot supermini Oil @ 44.67
Stop level: 44.67 (Shifted to breakeven)
Target level: 46.92

10. On 12 Dec gold trade triggered stop.

Original trade:
Open Long: 100 Spot Gold at 833.43
Stop level at 819.00
Target level at 846.38

11. On 10 Dec target level reached for oil

Original trade:
Open short: 1 Supermini Oil @ 44.25
Stop level: 45.00Target level: 43.13
Close at 43.13, profit is 112 ticks (US$112)

12. On 9 Dec cut loss on oil trade

Original trade:
Open Long: 1 supermini Oil @ 44.27
Stop level: 42.00
Target level: 46.80
Closed: 43.42 (Loss is US$32.00)

13. On 8 Dec took profit on gold

Original trade:
Open Long: 100 Spot Gold @ 770.25
Stop level: 739
Target level: 799.50Closed: 774.38 (Profit is US$413.00)

14. On 5 Dec target level reached for oil

Original trade:
Open Short: 1 lot Supermini Oil @ 45.56
Stop level: 48.10Target level: 42.83
Closed: 42.83 (Profit is US$273)

If you are interested to generate alternative income by tapping on BL TS system, send an email to me at metal.commodity@gmail.com.

To open a commodity trading account, click here to open.


Risk Disclosure:
Commodity trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to participate in the futures trading markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation to invest nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

About the Author:

Currently I'm working as a trader in a hedge fund. Previously I was working as a commodity specialist in a bank.



Aspires to be a fund manager. In 2007, I had participated in a 1 year stock-pick competition organized by Zacks.com in America. At the end of the competition, I was ranked 407th out of 27,700 participants, hence this makes me top 1.47% of the competition. I had achieved 32.67% return on the competition portfolio, for the same period S&P was only up 6.99%, and Dow Jones was only up 4.16%, hence I had outperformed the broad market by a wide margin.



All the trades can be found in this website: http://www.commoditiestradingpro.com/

Article Source: ArticlesBase.com - Perfect System for Commodity Trading

Why Gold Should be Part of your Stockmarket Portfolio

Author: Jesse Witham

One of the great advantages of CFD trading is that it permits you to seamlessly move within asset classes at little cost, and opens up a wealth of new contracts not just in stocks, but across a range of investment classes. Clients of Blue Index will be aware that we carry out analysis of the gold price on a daily and weekly basis, and our track record in pinpointing the regular movements in the price of the metal has been excellent.


Our long term stance has been bullish since gold ended its 20 year bear market at the turn of the millennium, and for those CFD traders who are not aware of the big picture, this article updates our rationale for long term investment in gold. It should be noted that since we began daily coverage two years ago, gold is up 80% in dollar terms, and over 50% for sterling based investors. We think there is a lot more to come.





Why the outlook for gold is so bullish





The starting point for the analysis of any commodity is supply and demand, and for gold the simple fact is that supply is declining and demand rising. As it stands, and because of the previous lack of profitability in exploiting new mines, most major sources of supply are declining and the global gold market currently faces an annual supply shortage of about 600 tonnes.





The gold supply





World mine production began to level off in the 1990s as gold traded a wide range but remained significantly lower than previous peaks, and by 2004, production was falling at a rate of 5% p.a. according to the World Gold Council. This as yet has not changed significantly and is a long term factor because it can take almost a decade for a rise in gold prices to generate exploration and eventual exploitation of new mines.





In terms of the existing supply, much of this has come from ongoing central bank offloading of gold, and here many developed countries have now stopped both official and unofficial sales of gold. Previously, and as a result of the need to diversify, central banks carried out regular gold sales, but in some cases (see below) the reverse is happening as finance ministers see the need to protect against the inflationary consequence of fiat monetary policies that are rampant across major western economies.





Another aspect of supply that is changing is forward selling from gold producers, where output prices were traditionally locked in to protect against potential future falls in gold. This was a normal part of commodity hedging, and to some extent it might have helped keep the price down, but given the ongoing bull market, mining companies now run the risk of losing potential future profits if they hedge into rising prices. It is estimated that global gold producers have reduced forward sales by over 40%, which would result in a drop in supply of almost 1000 tonnes.





Demand for gold





A big change in demand has come from central banks in China, Japan, India and Russia as a result of the need to diversify their vast US dollar reserves to some extent. The Russian central bank has hinted more than once that it plans to double its gold reserves, and the subject has regularly been mentioned by the Chinese central bank. All this is mainly as a result of the high proportion of trade-related US dollars flowing into their coffers, which has made them proportionately more reliant on the value of those dollars held.





As an example of potential demand, Japan and China have the eighth and tenth largest gold holdings in the world, but their current gold holdings are equivalent to just 1% of respective reserves. An increase of 50% in their gold reserves for just these two central banks would be the equivalent of buying over 600 tonnes, which is around a quarter of world annual mine production. Russia and India’s gold as a percentage of total reserves is slightly higher but stands at just 4%, so there is scope for additional demand here.





Asset allocation and investment in gold





Back in the 1970s commodity investment was an essential part of asset allocation for diversified portfolios, but despite the long term bear market ending just after the turn of the millennium, many investors continue to shun gold stocks. The two biggest gold stocks in the world are Barrick Gold Corporation, now valued at $36bn, and Newmont Mining, worth £21bn, and the total value of the top ten gold stocks is less than $150bn. If you compare this with the current value of Exxon Mobil at $505bn and it can be seen how insignificant gold stock valuations remain given the continued potential of this sector.





The total market for physical gold is also small, and stands at around $3.5 trillion, but the total value of the US stock and bond markets alone is close to $40 trillion. For asset allocation purposes, a 1% move into gold and gold stocks would equate to the purchase of eight times the annual production of gold worldwide.





M3, inflation and the gold price





With M3 money supply growing rapidly in most of the developed economies, the only outcome other than drastically higher interest rates, which looks unlikely, is a devaluation of currencies as has been the case throughout the last century. Should the dollar continue to move to lower ground as measured by the dollar index, which looks likely, further diversification into gold and other asset classes as a protection against the falling value of dollar reserves is likely to accelerate.





In 1980, the gold price peaked at $850 in times of raging inflation and 27 years later it is still below that peak level. For it to get back to those levels, which might be seen as extreme at the time, it would now need to be closer to $2000. In real terms though it looks dirt cheap, and long term investors should view $1000 as a realistic target in the next couple of years, which is 25% higher than the price right now.

About the Author:

Mike Estrey is the Head of Research for Blue Index, the Day Trading specialists in Contracts for Difference. Foreign Exchange Trading also forms part of their extensive services.

Article Source: ArticlesBase.com - Why Gold Should be Part of your Stockmarket Portfolio

Bullion Trading

Author: Kevin Huffman

Bullion trading encompasses gold, silver, precious metals and associated products which are traded through over-the-counter bullion trading platforms .US already has many decentralized units splashed all across its territory which enable bullion trading. Few countries have become price makers and left the tag of price takers far behind the toe-line. This is amply exhibited by how these countries are reacting today through the ever looming recession, focusing chiefly on bullion clouding.

The oil prices have led to the hottening up of bullion trading and it seems that drying liquidity and cabinet proposals may look to be instrumental for bullion market in recent future.

Domain expertise and best global trading practices help in setting price lines for gold trading with the most precise pricing mechanisms followed over the counter in most of the bullion trading countries.

Bullion trading requires a meticulous centre for hallmarking that can facilitate the procedure of setting gold and silver prices in accordance with the top systems. For instance, South East Asia looks up to the AM/PM system in London.

The concept of Spot gold has been traveling all through the arc of western bullion market. Spot gold trading is put forth for settlement two business days from the day of trade. Here, business day is defined as a day when both London and New York bullion exchange are open. Supply and demand theories do not move the gold market that much. It’s the interest rate differentials along with spot prices which are instrumental in freezing and melting the bullion market. This determines the volatility or the lack of it as far as gold price movement is concerned?

Interest rate for gold is obviously below intra country interest rates. This is so precisely because it would encourage gold borrowing and let the central bank monetize in chunk through their colossal gold holdings.

Today, bulk of gold and silver trading is done at the over the counter market. An optimum chunk of bullion trading is also done over internet medium.

Also, the banks are promoting the purchase of gold and they are trying to lure retail investors with handy perks to speed up the process of gold sale

About the Author:

http://bullioncity.com

Article Source: ArticlesBase.com - Bullion Trading